So I went back and reread some of my PMs with Moose.
On D5, she said, about 1.5 hours before lynch close: "I don't trust anybody, but I don't believe I'm going to vote for you tonight
🙂" and one hour later switched her lynch vote from PBC to me. I quoted the aforementioned PM and her lynch vote and said "wow rood" as a half-joke. But then we had this exchange (numbers in parentheses are timestamps based on minutes before lynch close).
Moose (24): It might be a ploy by me....
Me (23): Care to elaborate?
Moose (23): I'm not asking you to trust me but I'm true to my word
Moose (19): Who are you going to vote for? Let me know and I'll see if I agree with where you stand.
Moose (18): you gotta let me know in 5 mins because I don't want to waffle too close to close.
Me (16): Considering Paws or Cray or tbh even you if you don't tell me wtf is going on.
Moose (16): I wanted to see if everyone jumped on a bandwagon of you tbh. You've been suspected by a bunch of people lately and I want to see who goes for you, if anyone. Sorry! I'm going for cray
(At 14 minutes to close, she waffles to Cray)
Me (12): What were you hoping to accomplish?
Moose (10): I hate to admit I was hoping for a bandwagon and for you to be village and then I'd connect the dots for who voted for you, who bandwagoned, and who did that for the other village players. Sorry Capri!! I didn't promise you wouldn't get lynched, I just promised I wouldn't vote for you, although I probably should have said I won't end with a vote for you.
🙂
TL;DR she wanted to start a bandwagon vote against me because...??
After lynch, she posted this on thread:
I had initially written out my full response to post on thread, but on the chance that MJ was village I didn't want to risk spilling out info if there was a chance wolves hadn't picked up on it yet. So on thread I replied with just "think so" and in PM I said: "The fact that his mayor PM presumably indicates the 'wolves with lynch avoidance' thing, that implies that there is at least one wolf with lynch avoidance in the game. Since Cray didn't die in the lynch it doesn't look good for her." We then had the following exchange:
Moose: Do you think if MJ follows her [Cray] tonight that it will help?
Me: Perhaps, but I think his ability is better spent elsewhere.
If Cray is a wolf
and MJ survives the night
and Cray has plurality + MJ's lynch vote by close tomorrow, then we'll know if Cray is a wolf anyway.
Moose: Fair, where do you think MJ should look?
Me: I mean I'm pretty bad at handling power roles lol

so I don't know who's a good option for him to sniff.
I don't remember
exactly what I was thinking with that last response, but I know something about the conversation just seemed off to me so I intentionally gave a vague answer.