(I should never be left to my own devices. Maybe there's someone in dead chat cheering me on tho)
Also I just spent 2 minutes trying to fix the gif and it didn't work so you'll just need to quote it to see it
(I should never be left to my own devices. Maybe there's someone in dead chat cheering me on tho)
Also I just spent 2 minutes trying to fix the gif and it didn't work so you'll just need to quote it to see it
Okay there is more to evaluate here and unfortunately I think the overall vibe isn't great. Quotes are in chronilogical order and shortened to be the relevant parts about SQB only.
Feeling SQB is easy misyeet. I'd have to look back at this but I also feel like scream wasn't really in contention at this point. So why the need to pull her into the conversation? +pairing
At this point, probably still SAR. Maybe clem - his comments about getting misyeeted earlier made me squint. Other than those two, everyone else seems village lean or is a nooblet/mod/player who hasn't been here for a while and I'd feel bad voting one of them out.
I guess the exceptions to that are SQB, kitz, and apop but I'm pretty sure all three of them always give me wolf vibes even when they are village.
When asked who she would want to yeet, this was the answer. Still noncommittal on scream. Also noticing a trend to bring up scream in combination with other players and rarely by herself.
I did think about also making an "easy misyeet" category because there's a subset of players who I chronically wolfread but then they're usually never wolves (i.e kitz, SQB, apop, +/- rae) but I decided to hold off on that for now - hence why my POE ended up shaking out the way it did.
These two quotes go together as the second is justification for the first. Again, lumping scream into a category. Beans finally commits to putting scream in the POE here but it's a wide POE. Not unpairing, this could easily be distancing.
I went back and forth on SQB and clem. I initially had them in the yellow category too but ultimately decided to put them in the top of POE (like borderline red/yellow) instead because I don't feel as strongly that they are reading village as zenge/rae/kitz. Clem's comments on misyeets early D1 were a little odd and I'm taking into consideration that samac and spurs were both a little unsure of SQB before they died.
Apop and SQB were the only two voting for samac at EOD. I don't love that apop was sussing both spurs and samac so hard. I'm side eying SQB a bit too here
Um I don't think I love the shooting SQB idea...like I'm not village reading her either but it feels risky to shoot when we are getting so close to parity
sqb - She's definitely more active (with reads and such) than in previous games and I don't know what to make of that. I know other players have mentioned her vibes being off - I haven't noticed that as much but I intend to go back and iso her to see if I agree.
STILL noncommittal. I think we're too far into the game now to be relying solely on other players takes to create the POE
Conclusion:
There is nothing unpairing here, and a few pairing type interactions. Feeling somewhat worse about beans looking at this whole thing. Reminder that she could potentially be an alpha if she is a wolf.
@vampyrica Thank you for your service of claiming because now I don't have to do pair analysis with you because apparently that's going to be my trauma hyperfixation today
Okay I'm detecting a pattern that I'm likely going to conclude that scream hasn't really unpaired herself from anyone But anyway, here are all the interactions between scream/dubz from the scream perspective. Mostly it's some superficial back and forth about fruit and then some joking back and forth about dubz thinking about voting scream
I'm not sure I see the point in that. Also, if I was wolfing, wouldn't my ultimate goal to get to the end for my first game as a wolf? Because then people would take me seriously?
okay well i have an early flight tomorrow so i need to pack and whine down and i’d like to…relax..so i’ll drop my info and gradually make my way out so i can get some sleep.
i’m the other mason, spurs and i were the “mnmasons” because we both picked mnms. reason why i thought spurs was not nk by a wolf was because before he died, in our chat, he said (paraphrasing as to not break rules) “if i die, it wasnt a wolf”.
another individual has also opened a side chat with me. i will not name drop them, but someone opened a side chat with me. idk if it was wolfy or villagey though. we agreed on quite a few things, and brainstormed a possible pack.
believe me or not, your choice, but you’ll feel pretty silly when i flip village mason and lose another villager. if you wanna hand the game to the wolves with 0 effort, hey, that’s your choice! no judgement here. but if you wanna win, you kinda need village numbers.
SQB/dubz interactions pt 2, Dubz edition
So some of my own personal biases here: Typically I would expect Dubz as wolf to generally avoid bussing unless it's inevitable, though not to the point that she'd never put a nothing vote on a packmate. I'd also expect wolf!Dubz to be going for a wolf stomp if possible.
I was being a bit facetious, but Zenge and chic were also voting there yesterday and gave no indication their read there had changed. I hadn't seen anyone say they were town reading her.
First vote for scream today. If she was packed with scream, I would have expected her to start moving sus away from scream and try to potentially push Clem or Zenge instead. While at this point scream seems the obvious choice, I don't think that was necessarily the case when this vote was placed.
I think this quote ended up out of order, not sure. This was part of a back and forth with Zenge about Dubz being willing to vote apop but not scream because she didn't want to start a late flashwagon. This is a bit more potentially wolfy but I think the overall context here pushes away from a pairing
Conclusions:
Not impossible to be paired, but unlikely
I don't think it's a foregone conclusion but I think we have reasonable suspicions there. I'm hoping my pair analysis work will help strengthen the argument and give direction for where to go next
Conclusion:
There is nothing unpairing on either side I believe. However, I do not think the kitz side is particularly damning here - does feel like natural progression. Willing to re-evaluate my village read here if we do get a wolf flip on scream.
So I dug deeper into the tally when that vote was made and it was 5-4 apop and rae. So this vote actually pushed rae back up into the tie. Now, we don't know what kind of wolf SQB is because we've never seen her wolf before. But this doesn't feel like what you do to a packmate when the overall game is going in your favour. Scream's switch onto me may have also been more self prez as scream had popped up onto the board by that time.
Here are the rest of the relevant scream posts about rae:
Was this D1? I'm never super active on D1, Spurs finds it suspicious AND I'm playing through Chain Of Memories and sorry, KH takes priority over everything
I did say I was pattern testing, that takes me away from my computer and I'm not constantly refreshing SDN
I think that was 1 (one) joke post? Hardly "It's mostly been 'I'll avenge' apop" WHICH I also said about Fruit because he flipped village.
I'm also at work and my bandwidth is currently devoted to Vendors and meetings with people I don't like.
So.... Hate to say you're barking up the wrong lesbian
Response to rae's case on her. I think this is the most defensive I've seen scream this game. Possibly wolf theater but I don't think that fits the overall pattern
Conclusion:
I think that the positioning of the yeet vote from scream on rae is likely unpairing. If they are pack, I'd be surprised tbh. It would be a seriously deepwolf move to push your packmate in a tie when that could push them over in the end.
I want to give SQB a chance to answer our questions about the zenge thing.
However.
SAR's analysis so far is making me think we may be on the right track with SQB - namely because she is unpaired with a few players and I feel like that increases our chances of her being a hit
I guess my only reservation with SQB being yeeted is that I’m a bit more worried about a zenge and or Clem possibility. Idk. Theyre probably all hits I’m jus nervous 😭
So my overall impression is that rae is village (though this wasn't the goal of the exercise_ and unpaired from SQB (excepting some deep wolfing). Rae's progression on scream looks really good and there are multiple times where rae keeps scream in the conversation when she wouldn't have to.
Alright, I'm going to ISO people throughout the day.
Scream: 3 pages of posts.
^This is scream's first real contribution, Saturday at 7:32 pm. Most of the previous engagement had been with me and spurs over mac and peas.
So this was after Samac recommended Beans should RR about 1h10m to close. Beans suggested Samac was fishing, and scream seemed to agree.
scream town reads Beans post non-yeet
scream seemed to be (reluctantly) town reading Zenge and had a similar response to Fruit's pushback as I did.
After fruit died, scream had been pretty quiet. There was some chit chat about a whole lot of nothing. I know I was becoming the consensus vote, but this feels like scream popped in, threw a vote out, and then didn't really add much. Zenge said it was interesting and Chic demanded an explanation, to which scream said "gut feeling".
I went back and forth with some people, and Clem, who has put me on some kind of village pedestal suddenly voted SAR. That's when the chain of SAR votes seems to start. Zenge put a scream vote up and scream hopped on the SAR, abandoning her "gut feeling.
Since then it's mostly been "I'll avenge" apop.
tldr this does not make me feel great about scream. I see very little solving, parroting reads and votes with the populous.
Okay so, some WIFOM. If you are packmates, why choose your first iso to be a packmate? And then to make an argument for them to be scum from that iso. Scream had very little consistent sus at this stage. This doesn't feel paired.
I'm assuming this isn't at me. I'm not saying the nap is sus, I'm saying that coming in post nap, not catching up, and jumping on clem is weird. I don't like Kitz voting pattern.
Unless you're talking about my first quote for you. I'm just more so noting an 1h30m to close and being like "sup fam who am I voting for" was a bit odd and a tactic I used as a wolf
Keeping scream in the POE and taking clem out. If scream is a wolf, then clem/zenge/dubz/vampy feel like who would likely be set up for the misyeet so why take clem out arbitrarily if packmates?
Scream if I’m wrong about you, and I’m wrong about vampy, and I’m wrong about dubz, that leaves Clem and Zenge and that’s too small of a POE so who else am I wrong about
Conclusion:
I think again, this pairing is possible but unlikely from rae's side. I wish rae had put a vote on scream at some point because then I'd be more confident on it. But pairing this analysis with scream's handling of rae and I don't think we have a scream/rae world
Tries to use this later as an example of my village game I will make you my policy yeet for all time. This is a culmination of external factors leading me to be a beacon of village integrity. It's like the orange cat braincell is in my possession, it will not return for many years. Everyone got that?