Truenamer
Toothy, Furry Villager
Advertisement - Members don't see this ad
Math is off in one respect; we're in day 4. Worst case we started with Cult Leader, who converted on nights 1, 2, and 3, then wolves killed AM on night 3, leaving us with 1 Cult Leader and 2 Cultists.Let's see what we have as best and worst case scenarios here.
Worst case scenario: cult leader has been converting since N1. Cult leader and one regular cultist still in the game. Originally two wolves (I refuse to believe there were three wolves and a cult leader to start with since that just seems excessive), now one left. 4 villagers need to root out the two cultists and single wolf. Assuming cultist wincon is to convert all other players and they can convert every night, we have a single villager misyeet before the game essentially ends (for village purposes anyway).
Best case scenario: cult leader has only converted one player. Only cult leader is representing the cult. There's only one wolf. 5 villagers, 2 scum. Wolves kill one villager (or ideally the cult leader) tonight and we misyeet a villager, then there's probably 2 scum and 3 villagers left.
I'm struggling to make sense of this with my broken and sleepy brain but we're basically either at or extremely close to volo.