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Lynch killerleaf.
At this moment:
I am inclined to believe the following people are villagers (and I am also using a process of elimination):
1. wallydo (because wally was, in fact, the first person who stated that she was, in fact, visited by a fortune teller at night).
2. Lyra (because Lyra was the second person who stated that she was visited by a fortune teller at night).
3. mmm (because mmm was the third person who stated that she was visited by a fortune teller at night).
4. SAR (although SAR did not disclose that SAR was visited by a fortune teller at night, SAR was the fourth person who reported the same "fortune-telling night visit" and her story matches the "fortune-telling-at-night" stories already reported by wally, Lyra, and mmm).
5. serher (because serher was defended by Lyra yesterday ans if I believe Lyra, then I am inclined to believe that serher is a villager because Lyra repeatedly defended serher from being lynched on D6).
6. TrashPanda [because mmm has defended TP. (See Post #2958). At this time, I am trying to believe mmm.]
7. Kittenmittens (KM also reported the same paralyzing liquid incident that I reported. So, since KM's story matches my own story; and since KM adamently defended SAR on D6, I am inclined to believe KM at this moment, absent any evidence to the contrary).
However ...
1. I am unsure about @killerleaf at this moment. Although kl outed BOB (Wolf 1), is it possible that kl changed into a wolf or something else (another chaos thing)?
2. I am also unsure about @sheltermed (although we all know that sheltermed is going through a very distressful time right now due to her missing dog. I think it's safe to say that everyone here is feeling badly for sheltermed at this time).
I feel very much on the same page as you Dr. S
...Lynch Tally (D7):
KB (2) - Lyra, Mmmm
TPan (1) - S&M
KL (4) - Serher, Wally, Dr-S, KM
7/11 accounted for
Deadline 9pm EST (~4hrs away)
Ok, I can’t PM with anyone and no one has PM’d with me which may be why no one has a strong opinion about me. I try to post my thoughts but even in real life I am quiet, succinct, and observant which translates into fewer posts and sometimes sitting back. Because I can’t PM with anyone, I get what information I have from the write-ups and discussion so I look over them carefully. Although I might be guilty of over analyzing and reaching for something that isn’t there.
From the beginning I tried to imply my understanding of roles if I knew them so that I would not be outing anyone and making them a target to the wolves (#293). This has probably led me to hold my own role information pretty tight. I believed DrS early on based on what I understood of her role although not always her thinking (#296). When I thought we were thinking wrong about redirection, I mentioned it (#964) and checked with my mentor (#1206). I also relayed information about chaos based on my interpretation of the write-up and what my mentor told me (#1348). I tried to post my interpretation of write-ups in case there were clues which were sometimes missed by others (#1206). I pointed out that villagers despite being confusing are worth keeping around for numbers (#1791).
since Killerleaf said she is no longer a seer, if she is still a villager at least we aren't losing one with a useful ability.
Mostly gut instinct, and her posts yesterday sounded more like she's a useful villager to me.Why do you believe sheltermed? It's not that I don't, it's just that she's said so little I have no way of knowing.
You must be thinking of somebody else, I wasn't around when serher almost got lynched yesterday. I believed her defense, but I have no real reason to defend her myself.serher (because serher was defended by Lyra yesterday ans if I believe Lyra, then I am inclined to believe that serher is a villager because Lyra repeatedly defended serher from being lynched on D6).
Mostly gut instinct, and her posts yesterday sounded more like she's a useful villager to me.
You must be thinking of somebody else, I wasn't around when serher almost got lynched yesterday. I believed her defense, but I have no real reason to defend her myself.
Okay I went and read back through killer's posts...
nothing outright wolf-y, but then her lack of defense has me suspicious...and her whole death and then un-death leaves me wondering...
unlynch kar
lynch killerleaf
I understand yall's concerns. I have been very quiet, probably too quiet. I am just a villager now, without the ability to seer. however, we are getting down towards critical numbers...we need all the villagers we can get. SAR said something to the effect of at least we won't lose one with abilities....uh, guys we don't need to lose any villagers.
###Lynch SAR####
because of attitude that we can afford to lose villagers
*******those last minute lynches you guys seem so fond of. 😉
[My Update at 7:35 PM/4:35 PST]
Karabiner: “Despite my original vote last night for SAR, I now believe she [SAR] is a villager and quite possibly did a lot for us.”
Therefore, it is possible that Kara knows something important about SAR that is beneficial to the villagers. If karabiner's statement is true (and at this time, I do not have any reason to disbelieve karabiner), I do not want to lynch SAR. However, I would like to know "why" karabiner said that SAR "quite possibly did a lot for us."
[My Update at 7:35 PM/4:35 PST]
At this moment:
I am inclined to believe the following people are villagers (and I am using a process of elimination):
1. wallydo - because wally was, in fact, the first person who stated that she was, in fact, visited by a fortune teller at nighttime. Since I do not have any information to disbelieve wally at this moment, I am inclined to believe wally is a villager.
2. Lyra - because Lyra was the second person who stated that she was visited by a fortune teller at nighttime. Since I do not have any information to disbelieve Lyra at this moment, I am inclined to believe Lyra is a villager.
3. mmm - because mmm was the third person who stated that she was visited by a fortune teller at nighttime. Since I do not have any information to disbelieve mmm at this moment, I am inclined to believe mmm is a villager.
It would be useful to determine if the nighttime fortune-teller person is a "villager," or if they are a wolf. Is it possible that a wolf has obtained an "item" that would allow the wolf to come to a villager, at nighttime, and tell (or not tell) the villager's fortune? I don't know.
4. SAR.
Today, we learned that SAR is the fourth person who reported the same "fortune-telling nighttime visitor" story. If this is true, it means that SAR's story matches a similar (but not necessarily identical) "fortune-telling-at-nighttime" story that was already reported by wally, Lyra and mmm.
It might be useful to remember that karabiner has also defended SAR in the past; and it is useful to note that Karabiner also told us:
Karabiner: “Despite my original vote last night for SAR, I now believe she [SAR] is a villager and quite possibly did a lot for us.”
Therefore, it is possible that Kara knows something important about SAR that is beneficial to the villagers. If karabiner's statement is true (and at this time, I do not have any reason to disbelieve karabiner), I do not want to lynch SAR. However, I would like to know "why" karabiner said that SAR "quite possibly did a lot for us."
5. serher - because serher was defended by mmm yesterday; and mmm did not want serher to be lynched.
If I believe mmm, then I am inclined to believe that serher is a villager because mmm strongly defended serher from being lynched on D6. Plus, serher also told us that she [seher] was protected on one night. So, is it possible that serher may have been protected by an "item" made by KM (because KM has told us that she [KM] had the ability to make "items." I don't know. KM has also told us that she is a "magician."
6. TrashPanda - because mmm has defended TP in the past. At this time, I am trying to believe mmm; and therefore, I am inclined to believe that TP is a villager.
7. Kittenmittens - because KM also reported the same "paralyzing-liquid-attack" incident that I [DrS] reported. So, if KM's story is true (i.e., if her story also matches my own paralyzing-liquid-attack story); and since KM adamantly defended SAR on D6, I am inclined to believe KM at this moment (absent any evidence to the contrary).
8. Karabiner voted to lynch BOB (Wolf 1). Kara also voted to lynch HH (Wolf 2). Kara has also defended SAR (as noted above) by insinuating that SAR is a villager and that SAR "quite possibly did a lot for the villagers."
However ...
1. Killerleaf: I am still unsure about @killerleaf at this moment. Although killerleaf "outed" BOB (Wolf 1), is it possible that kl changed into a wolf or something else (another chaos-type thingy)? I don't know. When asked by serher if anything happened to killerleaf last night (N6), killerleaf responded:
Killerleaf: "not last night, but night before I had someone watching over me." What does that mean?
2. I am unsure about @sheltermed (although we all know that sheltermed is going through a very distressful time right now due to her missing dog. I think it's safe to say that everyone here is feeling badly for sheltermed at this time). I don't know. [Despite the mods admonitions about real-life stuff and WW, I do not want to cause sheltermed any further emotional distress.]
I would say, based on that (I think I know exactly to what you are referring to), that you definitely did not over-interpret. 😉I don't know how to say it without revealing the ability that I suspect. If I didn't over interpret, I arrived at my suspicion by looking at SAR's defense on D4 and events that happened N3
Traveling and signal is going in and out. Catching up. Will have good connection and vote before close! Sorry- got very delayed@TrashPanda, do you have any comments?