The reliable source back my claim is none other than the NRMP statistics themselves.
Across the board for all specialties represented a little better than
81% of US Allopathic seniors match into one of their top three choices.
Internal medicine is much less competitive than most other specialties, with the percentage of US allopathic seniors who did not match representing one of the lowest groups by the percentage of those applying
ibid
And if you look on
page 99 of the PDF
you linked,
it says the probability of matching into an IM program, ranking only three spots to be over 90% (closer to 92% if you look at the curve). (And I'm sure these stats take into account all of the outlying rejects who have to apply to medicine because they have no where else to go and are too proud to apply to FP, likely obtaining many less interviews than their better qualified contemporaries . . .)
So, if you want to make the argument that in order to absolutely, positively, guarantee a match by the statistics an allopathic US senior should go on 9 interviews and rank 9 programs, point ceded and you also get the prize for intercepting the most amount of low hanging fruit.
You make the mistake of assuming I don't know these numbers but these are all stats I know quite well. Furthermore, I take a certain amount of umbrage in your accusation of
"IM applicants should not be mislead by uncredited information or a false sense of security" . . . and I assume you are talking to me, because I don't see anyone else quoted. So, let me continue this instructional lesson with a discussion about the word "
most" . . .
–adjective, superl. of much or many with more as compar.
1. in the greatest quantity, amount, measure, degree, or number: to win the most votes.
2. in the majority of instances: Most operations are successful.
3. greatest, as in size or extent: the most talent.
So, if, as you claim, "most" is not 81% of US allopathic seniors matching into their top three choices,
across the board, and this does not mean that "most" US allopathic seniors applying to IM, which is a less competitive specialty, are not matching into their top three choices . . . well!!! . . .pray tell the entire group what exactly it means? Because I think the whole group would like you to drop your wisdom on us, since this is a "myth" as you stated in your reply to me.
You can apologize for being a clown anytime now.