I was looking earlier in the thread and saw these. Anybody know if these statements are true? If so, what is the proof?
Just curious. Wondering what % gets off the waitlist and my chances of doing so.
There is no way to know what percent will get off the waitlist this year, and there is no way to know what your chances of doing so are.
It varies by year. Yes, those statements are pretty much true. Some years there have more accepted, some years less.
If you want to go off those numbers. They've probably accepted over 200 people by now, but lets go with 200 for approximation. With all the withdraws they are probably right at 104 who are holding acceptances. So now you are waiting for people to withdraw when they are accepted elsewhere.
So about 375 people on the wait list, and they will likely take about 75 of those. So your odds are 1/5 just on numbers alone. If you are trying to decide whether to reapply or not - I would reapply, yes you may get off the waitlist but its not something you should plan on.
However, UCI strives for a very diverse class. In general, my understanding is they try to maintain certain demographics of people (athletes, URMs, people who work with underserved communities, researchers, those interested in international work, traditionals, etc). So there is no ranked waitlist. When one person withdraws they try to replace them with someone who maintains that diversity.
So there is just no way to know whether you are going to get in or not. All you can do is wait and hope (or pray if thats your thing). Write an LOI if you haven't already.
Good luck to all, but stop torturing yourself.