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deleted126335
Don't have to pay higher unemployment insurance premiums?
Futures reversing again, I’ve dripped in a bit but I don’t think we’re anywhere near capitulation, especially if the new case curve is still exponential
In other news:
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WASHINGTON — For weeks, President Trump has minimized the coronavirus, mocked concern about it and treated the risk from it cavalierly. On Tuesday he took to the White House lectern and made a remarkable assertion: He knew it was a pandemic all along.
“This is a pandemic,” Mr. Trump told reporters. “I felt it was a pandemic long before it was called a pandemic.”
This is what Mr. Trump has actually said over the past two months:
On Jan. 22, asked by a CNBC reporter whether there were “worries about a pandemic,” the president replied: “No, not at all. We have it totally under control. It’s one person coming in from China, and we have it under control. It’s going to be just fine.”
On Feb. 26, at a White House news conference, commenting on the country’s first reported cases: “We’re going to be pretty soon at only five people. And we could be at just one or two people over the next short period of time. So we’ve had very good luck.”
On Feb. 27, at a White House meeting: “It’s going to disappear. One day — it’s like a miracle — it will disappear.”
On March 7, standing next to President Jair Bolsonaro of Brazil at Mar-a-Lago, his club in Palm Beach, Fla., when asked if he was concerned that the virus was spreading closer to Washington: “No, I’m not concerned at all. No, I’m not. No, we’ve done a great job.” (At least three members of the Brazilian delegation and one Trump donor at Mar-a-Lago that weekend later tested positive for the virus.)
On March 16, in the White House briefing room, warning that the outbreak would “wash” away this summer: “So it could be right in that period of time where it, I say, wash — it washes through. Other people don’t like that term. But where it washes through.”
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Trump Now Claims He Always Knew the Coronavirus Would Be a Pandemic (Published 2020)
The president tried to rewrite his history with advising Americans about the coronavirus. His own words prove him wrong.www.nytimes.com
But why? I must be missing something.
especially if the new case curve is still exponential
Where are you finding the best numbers? Everywhere I look has different numbers. The CDC website shows a decreasing number of new cases but acknowledges their sources may lag.
Autocrats always try to rewrite history, so that it makes them look like the nation's saviors.Futures reversing again, I’ve dripped in a bit but I don’t think we’re anywhere near capitulation, especially if the new case curve is still exponential
In other news:
—-
WASHINGTON — For weeks, President Trump has minimized the coronavirus, mocked concern about it and treated the risk from it cavalierly. On Tuesday he took to the White House lectern and made a remarkable assertion: He knew it was a pandemic all along.
“This is a pandemic,” Mr. Trump told reporters. “I felt it was a pandemic long before it was called a pandemic.”
This is what Mr. Trump has actually said over the past two months:
On Jan. 22, asked by a CNBC reporter whether there were “worries about a pandemic,” the president replied: “No, not at all. We have it totally under control. It’s one person coming in from China, and we have it under control. It’s going to be just fine.”
On Feb. 26, at a White House news conference, commenting on the country’s first reported cases: “We’re going to be pretty soon at only five people. And we could be at just one or two people over the next short period of time. So we’ve had very good luck.”
On Feb. 27, at a White House meeting: “It’s going to disappear. One day — it’s like a miracle — it will disappear.”
On March 7, standing next to President Jair Bolsonaro of Brazil at Mar-a-Lago, his club in Palm Beach, Fla., when asked if he was concerned that the virus was spreading closer to Washington: “No, I’m not concerned at all. No, I’m not. No, we’ve done a great job.” (At least three members of the Brazilian delegation and one Trump donor at Mar-a-Lago that weekend later tested positive for the virus.)
On March 16, in the White House briefing room, warning that the outbreak would “wash” away this summer: “So it could be right in that period of time where it, I say, wash — it washes through. Other people don’t like that term. But where it washes through.”
—-
Trump Now Claims He Always Knew the Coronavirus Would Be a Pandemic (Published 2020)
The president tried to rewrite his history with advising Americans about the coronavirus. His own words prove him wrong.www.nytimes.com
Where are you finding the best numbers? Everywhere I look has different numbers. The CDC website shows a decreasing number of new cases but acknowledges their sources may lag.
The number of cases will pick up as testing increases. I would wanna see the number of hospitalizations, ICU admits, intubations, deaths from corona
People also are forgetting that test turn around time is still to the tune of 4-5 days. Just as an example, my shop has close to 50 inpatients waiting for results suspected to be COVID-19. These are all going to come to roost by the end of the week. The numbers are going to balloon even without us doing any testing.The number of cases will pick up as testing increases. I would wanna see the number of hospitalizations, ICU admits, intubations, deaths from corona
The neglected aspect as well is going to be state by state variation. What's going to happen when NYC runs out of ICU beds but Ohio has a bunch open because they shut things down earlier? Our ICU beds aren't spread evenly across the US. It's a nightmare that people really still haven't woken up to.I can tell you that the variability between ICUs is going to make a tremendous difference in mortality. The people who have died in my area died at more community based ICUs, whereas those at my mothership who get the full court press (with early intubation, lung protective ventilation, POCUS to keep examining the heart, proning when needed, frequent pressor titration, diuretics, crrt, residents and fellows to babysit the patients 24/7) are still kicking and some even slowly recovering.
What they’re doing goes beyond unethical in my opinion. If that’s not in violation of some labor law it needs to be.
Because then he cannot apply for unemployment, therefore their unemployment insurance premiums do not go up.Can anybody educate me on why they wouldn’t just lay off the poor guy? What’s the advantage of keeping him on their “payroll”?
Even for non-severe cases? I know for a fact that mild cases are 3-5 days in at least multiple states.Test turn-around time is getting down towards 24 hours in some states.
You may be right about that.Even for non-severe cases? I know for a fact that mild cases are 3-5 days in at least multiple states.
COVID-19 Map - Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center
Coronavirus COVID-19 Global Cases by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University (JHU)coronavirus.jhu.edu
And also
View attachment 298919COVID-19 pandemic in the United States - Wikipedia
en.m.wikipedia.org
I have liked this one. It's ahead of the JHU map and is pretty actively being updated.Where are you finding the best numbers? Everywhere I look has different numbers. The CDC website shows a decreasing number of new cases but acknowledges their sources may lag.
Careful with the unaffiliated COVID sites. Some have been discovered to have malware.COVID19info.live
Real-time updates on infections, deaths & recoveries from the COVID-19 (Coronavirus) + Latest Newscovid19info.live
The one I posted is not malware but I deleted the post because JHU is updating frequently/trustable. Thanks.Careful with the unaffiliated COVID sites. Some have been discovered to have malware.
Where are you finding the best numbers? Everywhere I look has different numbers. The CDC website shows a decreasing number of new cases but acknowledges their sources may lag.
Anyone have a ballpark number of how many CRRT machines there are in the country?I can tell you that the variability between ICUs is going to make a tremendous difference in mortality. The people who have died in my area died at more community based ICUs, whereas those at my mothership who get the full court press (with early intubation, lung protective ventilation, POCUS to keep examining the heart, proning when needed, frequent pressor titration, diuretics, crrt, residents and fellows to babysit the patients 24/7) are still kicking and some even slowly recovering.
Vents won’t be rate limiting. The number of intensivists and critical care nurses will be. And it’s not close.Anyone have a ballpark number of how many CRRT machines there are in the country?
Lot of attention given to number of ventilators in the stockpile but I wonder if there's going to be a different rate-limiting piece of equipment.
This is why I oppose Vector2's support of socialism and a single payer system. The UK is a prime example of what many of us (patients and physicians) do not want our healthcare system to become circa 2024.
DNyuz - Latest Breaking U.S. News
Latest Breaking News, U.S. and World Politics, Crime, Business, Science, Technology, Autos, Entertainment, Culture, Movie, Music, Sports.dnyuz.com
"What’s certain is that with 100,000 job vacancies already, the N.H.S. will not survive this crisis without protecting and respecting its staff. In 2018, two-thirds of doctors in their second year of training chose not to pursue specialty jobs. We are being asked to do more with little compensation while colleagues are hung out to dry because the system failed them. "
Do you support the kind of socialism where we have selective industry bailouts?
Probably not. Most Covid patients don't need pressors, hence they can get HD.Anyone have a ballpark number of how many CRRT machines there are in the country?
Lot of attention given to number of ventilators in the stockpile but I wonder if there's going to be a different rate-limiting piece of equipment.
Healthcare will need a bailout too after this is done. COVID 19 is a disaster for insurance companies and that pain will be passed on throughout the entire sector. Better get in line because we are all socialists now.
Probably not. Most Covid patients don't need pressors, hence they can get HD.
This is why I oppose Vector2's support of socialism and a single payer system. The UK is a prime example of what many of us (patients and physicians) do not want our healthcare system to become circa 2024.
DNyuz - Latest Breaking U.S. News
Latest Breaking News, U.S. and World Politics, Crime, Business, Science, Technology, Autos, Entertainment, Culture, Movie, Music, Sports.dnyuz.com
"What’s certain is that with 100,000 job vacancies already, the N.H.S. will not survive this crisis without protecting and respecting its staff. In 2018, two-thirds of doctors in their second year of training chose not to pursue specialty jobs. We are being asked to do more with little compensation while colleagues are hung out to dry because the system failed them. "
Unless there is deaths on the y axis, i’m worried the data is confounded.
Doesn’t make sense though. From what we know those disease has a long incubation period, is highly contagious, and has alot of asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic carriers. In other words it is perfectly designed for widespread infection. How can it be that there are only 150,000 infections in Wuhan, a city of 11 million people? How has it not spread to Beijing? Someone must have traveled in the early days of the outbreak. I know the Chinese can clamp down on their population really well but there must have been widespread travel before they even realized they had a problem in Wuhan. And it should have broken out in the other Chinese cities at this point. It made it everywhere else on the globe....An Optimist’s Case for COVID-19 Lockdown, Our Safest and Quickest Path Back to Normalcy
But what’s now clear is that these strict interventions are necessary both for our health and our economy: Without decisive action, the pandemic will linger on, suffocating our economies week by week amid a climate of fear.quillette.com
The Chinese must be doing something right.
Market breaking 2018 low. I'm guessing we'll be approaching Nov '16 levels soon
Do you support the kind of socialism where we have selective industry bailouts?
I started dribbling some money in today too. I dont think its hit bottom yet. The numbers of deaths and new cases are going to get worse, continuing to drive down the marketBought 30% into VTSAX today.
It's now finally good times to buy.
Looking at figure 1A, for 6 weeks straight May-July, at least 16K Americans will die DAILY. Peak will be first weak of June, when number of daily deaths exceeds 50K.Have you guys seen this Imperial College London study: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/im...-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf
The authors posit that:
It's crazy the even the middle "reasonable" option will still result in mass death, a completely overwhelmed healthcare system, and probably the police/military arrest of disobedient civilians to achieve.
- If we do nothing in the US, 2M people will die + ICU beds will be overwhelmed by 30x
- If we close everything/lockdown for 3 months, 1M people will die + ICU beds will be overwhelmed by 8x
- If we lockdown for 2 months "on"/1 month "off" repeatedly for the next 18 months, 50,000 people will die + ICU beds will not be overwhelmed
The "Lunatics" are sounding more and more sane, and the "Sane" are sounding more like lunatics. It's simply not rational to say I will shut down close to the entire society and economy, already held together by smoke and mirrors, for whatever length of time necessary to save the maximum number of lives.I just think we went about this thing the wrong way.
Easy to say it now, but I think months ago we should have been talking about protective sequestration isolating our at risk populations (restricting visitors to health care facilities, telling old folks to stay home), closing boarders, and bolstering our health care reserve.
I think personal distancing and self quarantine is a crock of sh** and too little too late seeing how this thing moves across a population.
I don’t trust the experts. After watching the health care systems in my area completely bungle this thing I don’t have any faith that anybody knows what they are doing.
No, I don’t want to kill off the old and weak but I’m really nervous of what the world is going to look like when this thing is over. If the system fails (anywhere) and healthy people start dying as a result of the breakdown that is a tragedy.
I think i would rather stress the health care system. We are a pretty smart bunch of people. Maybe necessity would push us to think outside the box. Maybe we would adapt and created ways to avoid a system overload. I think our paltry measures are going to take us to that point anyway. Now with a trashed economy.
Just had to vent. Feelin it now man. I’ll go stick my head back in the sand and gear up for my elective cases tomorrow.