Usually nelson tells you the most specific to how high in the list you are that he can be i.e. he'll say top 20, top 30, top 40 even though all of those are in the top third. If he tells you top third you're probably in the latter part of the third, idk how many are on the list this year so I can't be more specific. So top half should mean that you're in the top chunk of the middle third meaning you have a chance but it will depend on how much movement there is and how big the list is. Last year there was like 270 I think so even top quarter wasn't guaranteed(I didn't make it from top quarter last year). But this year I think they were planning on a smaller list so top half could be around 80 They should publish the number of people on the list in the waitlist faq but I don't remember when they send that outAlternative. Strother told me top half. As I was under the impression we did this in thirds, I am even more confused. I have no idea where I stand still.