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Step one, 500 interviewees- ~130 acceptances by the march time frame where med schools are required to have given out a class-worth of acceptances. This leaves 370 students. Here is where it gets cloudy. Taking last years acceptances as a model, 106 students were accepted off of the wait list. Now, if they have given out ~130 acceptances by May 15th, but they take 106 students off the wait list, that means they really only had 30 commitments. Now, another aspect to take into account is that 15% number which has been floating around. Say the bottom 15% were flat out rejected, that leaves 425. Subtract another 100 from this (which withdrew applications after acceptance), that gives 325 students waiting to hear back. 325 waiting to hear back who might land on the wait list. 106 students off the wait list out of 325 gives about 1/3rd.
Now going back to the cloudy part, there was a post in last years forum which plotted the wait list acceptances. 2010-2011 had 106 off off the wait list but 2009-2010 had only 36. That is a very large difference. I would love to hear if anybody has any more information regarding those numbers.
It isn't worth trying to play the numbers games. It'll just mess with your head. There was a lot of suspicion that our class hadn't been filled on May 15th and, since the wait list jumped to the high 30s before the form to stay on the list was due, I think that might be true. You guys having a brand new system this year means all bets are off.
^ this is true. Also, don't waste your time.No. It will have no bearing. OHSU explains that the way there system works is everyone receives a score value after their application is reviewed. People with a value above a certain number are automatically accepted, people below a certain value are automatically rejected, and people in the middle are placed on hold. These values dictate where people fall on the wait list. Once the committee receives your application and gives you a score value, that number DOESN'T change, regardless of updates/letters. This has been stated before in this and previous threads. The committee doesn't re-review the applications. In May they just give out the remaining acceptances (if any), set up the wait list, and give out the after hold rejections for those who didn't make the wait list.
Be nice to each other folks. You don't want to spend orientation week wondering who "that one db on SDN" was.
GL