Based on the SDN forum last year, some of us might hear something on Wednesday.The biggest wave of R’s and WL’s from Carle came in mid-March in 2021 and 2022.
From what I found, there were only 3 A’s on SDN in January last year and 8 A's in February. There have been 10 posters with A’s already in January this year. In the past years about one in 5 or 6 applicants seem to have posted on SDN, based on the 120–140 offers by Carle. Given there are also 36 A’s on GroupMe I wouldn’t be surprised if 64 or almost 64 initial offers have already been made, but this is speculation. Maybe some R's and WL's will come on Feb 21st, again though speculation.
There is some hope in that about 60% of the A’s on SDN came in March or later from past years. Though whether that figure remains steady in future years is anyone’s guess.
Here’s a summary of what I could find on previous years (I focused on A’s so only some of the reported Rs/WLs are listed):
2021 (48 seats)
Dec 16, 2020 – A×2; Feb 17, 2021 – A×1; Feb 26, 2021 – A×3; Mar 17, 2021 – WL×10, R×11; Apr 2, 2021 – A×5; May 3, 2021 – A×1; May 17, 2021 – A×2; May 18, 2021 – A×1
2022 (64 seats)
Jan 19, 2022 – A×8; Jan 27, 2022 – R×3; Jan 28, 2022 – A×1; Feb 9, 2022 – A×1; Feb 17, 2022 – R×2; Mar 9, 2022 – A×6, WL×8, R×1; Apr 1, 2022 – A×3; Apr 20, 2022 – A×1; Apr 29, 2022 – A×1; May 2, 2022 – A×4; May 4, 2022 – A×1
2023 (64 seats)
Jan 18, 2023 – A×2; Jan 27, 2023 – A×1; Feb 22, 2023 – A×8, WL×6, R×3; Mar 3, 2023 – WL×1; Mar 10, 2023 – A×1; Mar 13, 2023 – WL×3; Apr 19, 2023 – A×6; Apr 28, 2023 – A×1; May 2, 2023 – A×2; May 4, 2023 – A×1; May 7, 2023 – A×1; May 16, 2023 – A×1; May 22, 2023 – A×1
2024 (64 seats)
Jan 17, 2023 – A×10, R×2;