CHOOSE YOUR OWWN III - Game Thread

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Day 1 Yeet Tally
Stagg () -
mkg () -
O2 () -
genny (2) - dubz, alissa
True (2) - shorty, Vis
dubz (1) - Lumi
Chaos (3) - Lawpy, Zenge, True
Lumi (4) - Wonder, Chaos, O2, alley
mkg () -
Lawpy (1) - mkg

13/16
yeet close in ~3 hours
 
or have an extremely bad case of fancy play syndrome.
Why do you think this is unlikely? I do agree with your point about it being possible they did genuinely do some fancy play to try to catch scum but are also scum, but that’s more of a reason to neutral read them than scum read them
 
That I’m gonna have to have a word with Samac bc her armor isn’t working. But in all seriousness, I’m not a fan of any of the googaters, especially Lumi. Dubz has said things more eloquently, but they sound rather huffy to me and combative. The most important thing for a villager to do is to, ya know, sound village so they can get read correctly and I just can’t see them as village right now. I’m not sure what to make of you kinda defending lumi by going at wonder, and shorty’s defense of lumi, although some of that could be because she’s the reason Lumi is playing. Zenge sounds fine, I’d like to hear more from alley, and of course Genny is always sus 😉 I know Alissa and others have spread sheets for roles, so I’m looking forward to those.
I don’t agree with all of these but the reasoning is fresh and sounds genuine
 
Mechanically I think it makes most sense for wonder to be telling the truth about using the goo card for aff. It's a silly thing for most (all?) affiliations to use for ability. So unless her third card was somehow worse than goo and miller, I lean towards believing her.

In a thread content-based sense though I don't really have enough from her to get a read.

And there's always the possibility of further shenanigans but do I want to fall into that pit yet? No.
I mean, I’m not going to rule out her being cult black goo
 
Who’s everyone? I think I’m in most people’s neutrals.
Yeah, I said that in my last catch-up post, and then Zenge went said it too on the very next page 🙃

I’d like to hear what the people voting for Lumi,

@WonderingStudent @alissa14 @WorthlessOxygen and @alleycat03 think of the OG Bloodhound claim.

@Chaostrodon if not self pressing where would you vote?
I really didn't understand what Lumi was going for at first, and even now that I've research the role, I don't completely buy that they are telling the truth. If Lumi really is the bloodhood, scum are probably going to kill them soon OR Lumi leads us to a wolf/mafia/alien/whatever and we have to decide to trust them (a liar) later or not.

But also, he KNOWS that I've found this to be a wolf tell in the past for him because we had talked about how I wolf read him hard and fast in Lit vs village reading him pretty strongly in Mountains and what tipped me off ... so like, wouldn't a scum!True be more aware of doing it going forward, since he'd made a point to ask me about it in hopes of improving his scum play?
WIFOM to the extreme 🙁

Well I’m willing to let go of my jester theory and all since I’ve finally looked at the role list. So I’m willing to believe wonder for now. Honestly I realize I go for Genny a lot on D1 when we play together so I might try this instead for now

Unyeet chaos
Yeet lawpy
I don't get the Lawpy vote, even though I agree that his reaction to the goo debacle was a bit odd. idk if it is worth voting for though? Like that didn't seem off enough to warrant a vote imo.

I’m super in my head when I play WW regardless of affiliation. And I regret starting off with a strong Dubz read. It was purely based on her discards and aff claim which in hindsight, should not have given me as strong of a read as it did. Idk what else to say. I am not trying to use an excuse but I think you forget that I have not really played much recently and my most recent outings have not gone “well.” I am trying my best.

At the start. I was tempted to go with an alien affiliation for the fun of it but decided against it because I really just wanted to try and play as best village as i can. So if I’m ever over-explainy or sensitive, it’s because I’m really trying to not get yeeted early. It’s been a long time since I’ve made it to end game and I want to try.

And even as I’m typing this I’m in my head for all the possible bad reactions I could get from posting it. But whatever. I said what I said
This post does seem very genuine, and I understand why you posted about your village read. It just seemed extreme to call her a strong village read pretty early on in D1 of the game.
 
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Elaborate?
People have had concerns about how Lumi approached things but “huffy and combative” is a slightly different way of interpreting it than has been said before, and I can see why that would sound wolfy when focusing on how villagers should be motivated to try to find and cooperate with fellow villagers.

Also liked her noting alley as “someone she needs to hear more from” instead of just parroting the same people (wo2, could also have said stagg) other people have been calling out as needing to hear more from.
 
It's specifically yeet armor, so that's how I interpreted your comment.


There aren't jesters in this role list.
But what if persona non grata…

Pls shorty i need the sequence to be fakeclaim -> accidentally caught by fake counterclaim -> accidentally caught by fake counterclaim who intended to get herself yeeted for fake counterclaiming
 
what if he's a gladiator? or mafia vig? i don't think leaving him alive is necessarily harmless to town.

If I remember correctly , mafia night vigilante cannot use their nk on the same night as a mafia kill , so mafia vig is effectively just mafia goon (maybe one of the hosts can confirm on this?)

And I think someone claimed gladiator
 
But what if persona non grata…

Pls shorty i need the sequence to be fakeclaim -> accidentally caught by fake counterclaim -> accidentally caught by fake counterclaim who intended to get herself yeeted for fake counterclaiming
That would be aWWard worthy.
 
If I remember correctly , mafia night vigilante cannot use their nk on the same night as a mafia kill , so mafia vig is effectively just mafia goon (maybe one of the hosts can confirm on this?)

And I think someone claimed gladiator
I don't see a night vig option for mafia, only day vig, but idk if that limitation would apply if they used town [night] vig for ability. I don't see anything on the wiki that says something about that.

There was a gladiator claim, yes.
 
I am keeping my vote on Lumi, because I don't trust anyone that lies, especially for no reason other than to "trick scum"

I would also be voting for Chaos, except the whole issue of voting him could turn him into Mafia and I don't want that. I think it is better for us to leave him alone right now and hope for a vig shot.
 
Yeah, I said that in my last catch-up post, and then Zenge went said it too on the very next page 🙃


I really didn't understand what Lumi was going for at first, and even now that I've research the role, I don't completely buy that they are telling the truth. If Lumi really is the bloodhood, scum are probably going to kill them soon OR Lumi leads us to a wolf/mafia/alien/whatever and we have to decide to trust them (a liar) later or not.


WIFOM to the extreme 🙁


I don't get the Lawpy vote, even though I agree that his reaction to the goo debacle was a bit odd. idk if it is worth voting for though? Like that didn't seem off enough to warrant a vote imo.


This post does seem very genuine, and I understand why you posted about your village read. It just seemed extreme to call her a strong village read pretty early on in D1 of the game.
I thought I’d dip my toes in a different vote, but as I said I like other wagon options available or I might just go back to chaos. Googate must be resolved.
 
I thought I’d dip my toes in a different vote, but as I said I like other wagon options available or I might just go back to chaos. Googate must be resolved.
I agree with you on googate being resolved, which is why I'm keeping my vote on Lumi.
 
Please people with memories, is this true?
I don't remember all the games they've played together, but from a quick search of the ones I do remember:

She made no attempt to read him in the SDN game, from what I can tell, there are only 2 mentions of him at all in her ISO.

In England, she initially read him incorrectly and voted him, but then eventually came around to the correct read on him after he posted a reads list.

It appears she did not read him as wolfy in Bioshock.

She correctly read him immediately in GGoats.

I know they played Worst Idea together, but they were both scum (of different factions) and I'm pretty sure alissa went down D1 so I'm not sure that game would be that helpful to look at.

@alissa14 are there more recent games you've played with Zenge than the ones I listed here? I feel like I'm missing some.
 
Wait a minute.
According to Lumi's logic, branding three town roles is not likely to the extent that they acted disbelieving. HOWEVER...
Lumi discarded vanillager (1 town role).
Lumi claims bloodhound as their ability (only town bloodhound on the list. 2nd town role.)
So the third role, from which they would have to take affiliation... ???
You’re misunderstanding the statistics. No one set of rands in so unlikely it should be disbelieved, but when you repeat the experiment over and over (16 times), things should tend towards having the distribution you expect.
 
I am keeping my vote on Lumi, because I don't trust anyone that lies, especially for no reason other than to "trick scum"
Noted for future outings lol
 
Uh when have you ever played with wolf!lawpy? I haven't even played with wolf!lawpy, as it's been a longgggg time since he wolfed.
I have never played with wolf lawpy, which is why I was seeking advice about how to read him.
 
i don't think we should assume he's telling the truth about judas. sounds like something a wolf vig would say to get a shot off.
That's why my vote is currently there, because Judas sounds like *exactly* the role I would say I had if I was caught in a lie on another role. It perfectly dissuades us from yeeting them.
 
Sure, but I would expect them to not be as incredulous if randing three town roles happened to them.
The probability of it happening however many times is quite similar whether it happened to them or not. For example, probability of it happening at least 7 times is 1.53%, and the conditional probability of that (>=7) happening once you know it’s happened at least once is 3.87%
 
I don't see a night vig option for mafia, only day vig, but idk if that limitation would apply if they used town [night] vig for ability. I don't see anything on the wiki that says something about that.

There was a gladiator claim, yes.

@Animal Midwife , isnt that the case that mafia vigilante cant also use factonal kill on the same night?
 
Because starting off with a fake claim about being goo is highly suspicious and then following it up with judas, the ideal fakeclaim, is even more suspicious.
I find it more likely scum!Chaos didn't think anyone would be black goo and then had to come up with another fakeclaim.
I also think Lumi is scum, but my bet would be on SK.
 
The probability of it happening however many times is quite similar whether it happened to them or not. For example, probability of it happening at least 7 times is 1.53%, and the conditional probability of that (>=7) happening once you know it’s happened at least once is 3.87%
Can I wholeheartedly day: NUMBERS IS VILLAINS
 
Can you describe what you’re seeing that’s different?
It's hard to perfectly describe, but scum!Zenge feels more "as quiet as possible", whereas D1 village!Zenge feels more "quietly observing but willing to weigh in".
 
I’m super in my head when I play WW regardless of affiliation. And I regret starting off with a strong Dubz read. It was purely based on her discards and aff claim which in hindsight, should not have given me as strong of a read as it did. Idk what else to say. I am not trying to use an excuse but I think you forget that I have not really played much recently and my most recent outings have not gone “well.” I am trying my best.

At the start. I was tempted to go with an alien affiliation for the fun of it but decided against it because I really just wanted to try and play as best village as i can. So if I’m ever over-explainy or sensitive, it’s because I’m really trying to not get yeeted early. It’s been a long time since I’ve made it to end game and I want to try.

And even as I’m typing this I’m in my head for all the possible bad reactions I could get from posting it. But whatever. I said what I said
I feel guilty, because my immediate reaction was "this is going to be hilarious when she flips alien" but I also want to believe that this is genuine
 
Because starting off with a fake claim about being goo is highly suspicious and then following it up with judas, the ideal fakeclaim, is even more suspicious.
I find it more likely scum!Chaos didn't think anyone would be black goo and then had to come up with another fakeclaim.
I also think Lumi is scum, but my bet would be on SK.
SK?
 
I am mostly drawing on my experience playing with him as scum last game. I paid a lot more attention to him than usual since my existence was dependent on him surviving.
Well sure, but I don't know if we can compare D1 of last game (post mayor vote) to D1 of this game. I'd say he played more like village!Zenge overall given how unique his wincon was. Apples to oranges.
Serial killer.
 
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