You really really can't go by SDN numbers. Back when my class (2010) was applying, there were like 8 of us on here who were accepted and posting up a storm in the class thread. The past 2 years, there's been very few accepted SDN peeps. This is a ridiculously small sample of self-selecting individuals who visit SDN.
Also I don't see where you get 35% rejections from; there's a lot of people waitlisted, and waitlists do not count as rejections. But it doesn't matter. Hold is a hold, most likely (statistically) a waitlist spot. But you never know. Some may think its "mean" but to be real, most people hold all their acceptances until May 15th anyway, so it doesn't matter very much if you find out earlier or later other than from an obsessive knowing every possibility right now or I will die viewpoint.
Please, everyone. Stop overthinking this stuff. As someone who was waitlisted the first time around and accepted the second time around, I can tell you I did not benefit one bit from any fretting and dissecting of the admissions process which I might have indulged in. I would have been better off reading a good book or sleeping or anything else.😀
