i did some quick calculations.
gw had an entering class of 177 last year. from what i have heard, med schools accept - straight out - twice that number. by this assumption, there should be around 350 straight acceptances this year.
they interview from sept-march, 3 days a week. comes out to be around 84 interview dates. there are probably lesser number of interview days - factoring in the holidays, but i'm trying to come up with a conservative estimate for number of acceptances from each interview. assuming there are 12 students in each interview, they interview around 1000 people each year. that would mean that there is around 30-35% chance of someone getting straight acceptance, if they interviewed. so, give or take, there would 3-4 acceptances from each interview date.
now this is quite late in the season. so saying there would be 2 acceptances, or at the MAX 3, from interview dates that were late in the season wouldn't be unreasonable.
what do you guys think?