That is around 8.5 percent. So technically statistically alternative list buddies we have only 8.5 percent chances to be accepted to this college. So at a modest level given that I am OSS, I think for me it might be as low as 5 to 6 % then.
But then I also agree with SW8S that people might withdraw bc they have acceptance. Hopefully by end of April 200 of those approx 381 withdraw making chances for in-state acceptance to be around 20 percent and oos of state around 10 to 15 percent.
Honestly, I thought I had higher changes post-interview. Let's hope for the best.
For people who have accepted to their top choice and are in an alternative list, I hope they withdraw sooner than later.
Also, people, who have acceptance at Geisinger and want to go to another med school they have been accepted at I request them to withdraw sooner than later.
So people like me in the alternative list who are super interested in the school can see mobility sooner rather than later and plan things.