So what I'm wondering is, if I wanted to know my chance of being able to go here if this is my first choice, wouldn't my chance actually be higher than acceptances/ interviews because this doesn't factor in the number of people that chose a different school, leaving the formula acceptances/(interviews- people who went elsewhere) and giving me a better chance? This might mean, for example, that the chance at UTSW was much closer to the acceptances/ interviews while the chance at SHSU was further away from that number, and a school like Tech, which is wonderful but further away from the majority of Texans, would be somewhere in the middle.