I listened to a podcast with the UCI dean (from last December) where she mentioned that they were trying to accept more people outright this year than in prior years. It’s possible there will be very little WL movement since we have to wait for the # of accepted students to dip below 104. Also according to MSAR there were 5 deferrals last year, so that’s 5 more spots that are gone for this cycle. UCI is desirable enough for most people to attend, unless they got into a top 20 or had a huge scholarship from another school. I’m sure there will be more people that withdraw their acceptance at UCI, but it’s tough to say if any of us WL people will make it in. All we can do now is send our letters and updates and hope for the best.